#16: Will AI Replace the “Average” Human?
Alright guys, welcome back to the junction.
Today we're going to talk about normal.
What is normal these days?
No, not you, not me.
But Sam Altman seems to think that he
can, you know, like, replace the normal person.
Average, I believe is what he oh, average. Yeah.
I don't even know what would
you consider the average person, Mel?
Actually, you're says he uses the term median human.
I think about like back to my math class.
Mean median mode.
I always forgot until like the last second, I'd be like,
oh yeah, median is the middle, but so is mode.
Anyway, mode is the most of oh, yeah, the ones
that show up, the did Sam what did Sam Altman
say that got everybody such in a tizzy?
I mean, he literally said he intends
to replace normal people with AI.
So I think that begs that there's a lot
of people that are like, what is normal? Yeah.
What do you mean by average? Right.
So all of a sudden you kind
of put people on the defensive.
Actually when you sent this to me because
you're always kind of eye rolling at clickbait,
I thought this is a little clickbaity.
Little clickbaity.
Yeah, I thought this was interesting.
There's an Oxford researcher in here on the
Futurism article and it says, this is a
hugely problematic leap to make, he says, because
all of a sudden you're assigning agency comprehension,
cognition or reasoning to these mechanistic models.
And I really like that.
It's a really big wordy statement.
But this idea that we can replace a
normal individual, let's just call it the average
Joe is a wild statement, right?
Like, well, you're talking
about feelings of individuals.
You're talking about what they're capable of doing, what
they're incapable of know, just like what makes us
human is now all of a sudden accomplished by
whatever Sam Altman and team are coming up.
You I don't know, how do you respond to that?
How do you respond to saying, hey,
Mel, I'm going to take the normal
marketing person, I'm going to replace them.
What's your response to that?
Well, of course I don't believe
that that's going to happen.
Or at least that's not something
that I want to have happen.
In our capacity here, we are leveraging AI.
So I continue to want to learn how to coexist with
the tools because the more we can do that maybe these
average things are those things that you do learn in textbooks
or in a more kind of a I don't want to
say, like a marketing position, but like an entry level things
that can be repetitive and often manual.
That's what I think that maybe
he's sort of getting at here.
So if there's one particular quote in here about
if you happen to live a median life, you
could soon be out of a job.
So that's got me thinking like,
well, what is a median life?
And this goes back to who's to
say what a median life is.
And if you have traveled at all in the last
year outside of your city, certainly outside of the country,
that looks very different depending on who you talk to.
I just don't see a world in which I'm
just coming back from a vacation and I did
my due diligence and did not work on vacation.
And I got to interact with so
many interesting people and started thinking about
how I could tell their stories.
And there's this just human element that you don't get.
I wouldn't have gotten that if I was just interacting with
some AI server bot that was bringing me my meal.
So I don't know, there's like, the natural propensity for
me to be interested in the other human being on
the other side of the table, whether bringing me my
dinner or I want to understand why you're an expert
in the field of which that we work.
And I don't know.
That's such a loaded question.
As you were talking, I was thinking through all
of the individual things that are possible right now.
I'm thinking like, the voiceovers where they're
replicating voices and they're changing people's faces
and video to look like certain people. Right.
And now we're generating pictures
and content and documents.
You basically have all of the pieces to make
a fake person that works remote feel extremely real.
Like, you get on teams or slack
meet or whatever you're zooming with. Right.
Somebody hops on.
Never met them before, but they just started. Right.
And they talk intelligently.
They start delivering average content.
You're like, Well, I guess they're great.
I don't know how much they're costing the
company, but I can ask this person to
do something and they end up doing it.
Come to find out that that whole thing is AI.
How does that make you feel?
Like you were talking about building a
relationship if nobody told you where you're
talking to this AI person right.
Thing and you thought it was the person the
whole time, how does that make you feel?
I feel like I just got bamboozled.
Maybe you might feel a little like you were
a little fleeced, but you've kind of got me
thinking about well, if this individual is helping to
contribute to those same things that I'm measured against,
or we're working together to deliver, let's just say
in the context of marketing.
Like a collaborative piece, content
piece, like a blog post.
If I can't do it in a timely manner without the
AI person or I can't do it at all, then I
would rather do it in collaboration with the mean.
I'm I was hired to and am incented to develop content.
Like I said, given given a choice between not
having that as a resource or having that as
a lower cost resource, I would take it.
Okay, Mel, so what if you have ten
bots that are producing average amount of work.
Like what they generate is just average.
Is ten workloads worth of work better than one.
Mel who is really superb at what she does.
What's the scale there?
This is maybe a little subjective because fundamentally
average is not something that I you don't
deal in average not particularly well. Okay.
But maybe there is a little bit of a mindset there.
But I think no matter what your craft, I'm just one of
those people, if you're going to do it, do really well.
So yeah, I'd rather have
one superstar than five average.
But that goes against a lot of what there
have been over the last year or two.
A lot of companies that have one
way or another reduced their force.
And you could argue there's been a lot
of terms thrown around about cutting, whether it's
a budget or kind of cutting certain capacities.
And so that's essentially what some of these companies,
the message or the message to the outsider looking
in, they must have deemed that that function wasn't
all that important or maybe the people in those
roles weren't all that effective.
I realize that that is not always the
case and I'm certainly not trying to suggest
that those who were impacted by these reduction
enforced that they don't have valuable skills.
But that is sort of the perception
or even the spin or message.
And so that's kind of what he's saying here is
like if you're just kind of fall into that category
of what a business or leaders or corporate governance could
see as average work, then you are in danger.
Well, I'm glad you brought that up.
I'm scrolling through Sam's posts and on
the 29th he's replying to Ryan Peterson
talking about deploying GPT Four copilot.
It took them 30 minutes to do one task and now
they can do it in 20 seconds with a single prompt.
That sounds awesome.
We hear a lot about that.
And in parentheses Sam's response, he says, of course.
And he's talking about how the systems are much better
at doing tasks than jobs right now and giving people
better tools to do their work faster often leads to
qualitative changes in what they can do.
Well, that makes sense, that's what you're describing.
But then he goes on to say, of course, over
the long run, we expect these systems will be able
to do all of some of today's jobs and aren't
trying to hide the ball on that.
Confident we will find new and much better jobs
when that happens, if he's confident that we can
replace entire jobs with AI, and if you're just
that average Joe, you better start skilling up or
learning some kind of trade because telling you fly
fishing, well, that's the other take of this.
If we just automate everybody's job, every single person's job,
and it's all automated, we got Tesla bots running around,
your cars are driving you everywhere, everybody's going to have
so much free time that they're not going to be
able to make enough money to live.
And that's where you get this kind of UBI idea.
And we're not really talking about that, but it'll
be really interesting to see over the next decade
or so, lots of people are now out of
jobs because they literally have been.
The whole thing is not only just
automated, but is AI the word? Can I say?
They AI'd it. Is that a thing?
No, make it a thing.
It's a thing. Yeah.
It will be interesting to see where it goes.
And that's where I go back to learning how to
coexist with the tools and staying on top of it.
Because where a job can be replaced, it also creates
a new role for someone to manage that AI strategy.
We've talked about this in earlier episodes.
You don't just turn it on and let it ride.
Somebody still has to manage these strategies or
the inputs, and it has to course correct.
So I definitely don't think we're there yet.
But you're right.
Ten years, a lot can change.
Well, you remind me of this other article that I
saw today, and I think there's a couple of versions
of this, but basically one of the professors or somebody
at a university describes that we're now basically teaching these
kids skills that will be obsolete by the time they
before they even make it out the door.
And things are moving so quickly that all of these classes
that we've come up with and basically learning how to code,
things are going to change so quickly that the time and
money that you spend getting that degree are.
Now, I won't say worthless, because there's things beyond
just the classroom that go in with college.
But we're basically teaching kids the wrong thing
because things are moving so quickly in the
industry that now what you've learned is irrelevant.
Like, Mel, how do we solve that?
How do we even sure that these kids are
getting the skills that they need to thrive in
the world that they're about to step into?
So I've talked with parents about this,
like how they're dealing with it.
In fact, I was on a webinar a couple of
weeks ago with a parent who was disappointed that his
kids teachers were discouraging or going so far as banning
the use of chachi PT to get to conclusions to
help them develop inputs for assignments.
And he has had very candid conversations with them in
the home of I want you to understand the tools.
I want you to know how to use them.
And gone so far as to say if we need to have
a discussion with your educators about why and the value that I
see and why we're adopting these tools in our household.
I'm happy to have that conversation. Yeah.
So it kind of goes to I do think I'm not close
to if this is being adopted by certain educators Or Not.
I've read more articles about banning or use,
against which I think a lot of companies
went to in general ven technology.
Initially, we did discourage using the tools on our own
systems with company issued emails because we wanted to, of
course, protect our data and our customer data.
But I think we always kind of knew it was more
of a let's understand it before we go embrace it.
Because we know how we are around here.
It doesn't even have to be a tool.
The second I build a new slide deck, it's like V One.
I've got red text box draft. Yeah.
And then out the door.
The number of times where you've
said, is this ready to go? Can I use this?
Or our sales team is sharing it with a
prospect, and they quick delete that draft box right
before they flip to the next slide.
So, I mean, we knew the minute we sort of rolled it
out or embraced it, we were going to be full speed ahead.
So I think that's where some of those educators are.
My take.
Again, speaking from a place of I don't have
young kids in school, but I do think that
the more that they can understand how these tools
work, that kind of seems where things are going.
That's one of the things that we were talking about
earlier today is that if you're in that mode of,
well, I'm going to wait and see what happens, you
might be backing yourself into a hole.
I was talking about Tesla and Ford and thinking
about the strikes that are going on right now.
Ford and GM and Stalantis.
They're trying to reduce their cost
so they can be more competitive. Right.
And I think people are owed fair
wages for what they're working on.
But Tesla now Is screaming past These guys in Terms
of The AI that They've Built the Neural Engines around
FSD, and how Quickly They've Gone from a nothing burger
to the Largest Automobile Maker in The Entire World.
And They've Done It In A Span
of Less Than 20 Years Or so.
Whereas I was talking about jeep, and jeep's been around
since World War II, and their autopilot type setup can
barely keep me in the lines of the road.
But the point is, you don't want to be the Ford.
You want to be the Tesla.
And Tesla Went Head On Into The Electric Vehicle.
If you're sitting back like Ford.
Well, we're just going to wait
and see how electric batteries work.
Now in five years or so, you as an individual,
or your company that you own and operate, or the
company that you work for, if they're pushing these things
away, they're going to be the Ford in ten years.
Now where they're trying to reduce cost to
still be competitive, whereas the other company that
didn't, they're going to be drowning in money
because they're going to be beating their competitors
left and right because they've automated everything.
And I think that's where your idea Mel, of
being like a copilot really fits in nicely.
Because we're not going to unleash the AI to just
go run a business and check in every two weeks.
Somebody's going to need to automate or
after we've automated it, somebody's going to
need to look over what it's done.
It's going to tell them, well
actually go this direction, right?
You're going to need that one excellent supreme
mind that's going to step in and be
like, let's move these things like this, right?
Like the chess master is going to move the
pieces and you're going to need other people to
review the work and ensure what the AI is
doing is headed in that right direction.
Because the AI isn't the visionary.
I don't know if it will ever be the visionary.
Maybe one day we keep going back to, I think
naturally because we are in the technology space by virtue
of what we do and we're talking about vehicles.
I keep trying to think of scenarios where
you can't quickly automate things like that.
So I go to there have been
amazing advancements in medical care, right?
But there is so much of that system
that is still not even remotely automated. It's great.
There have been amazing advancements made just even in the
last couple of years with the apps and how you
can finally book an appointment on your app and all
of your lab results show up in app. Oh, it's amazing.
But think about the people who check you in
and the nurse who takes your blood pressure.
I know there's technology out there
that can do these things.
But the investment for companies to go invest in
that kind of technology, that seems like it would
be more of an undertaking than continuing to hire
nursing staff that provide care in an environment where
people want that human emotional touch.
Well, I think that's why it's kind of like
a decade of a timeline that we're talking about
because we're going to come out with solutions that
can automate a lot of what people are doing.
But it's going to take a decade for
that company to outgrow the behemoths, right?
Whoever the behemoth is in your space, you're not
going to be able to do this overnight.
It's still going to take time, but it's going to take
a whole lot less time than what it did if you
just tried to throw a bunch of human bodies at it.
Well, if you think about the example of going
to see your doctor, right, and the amount of
time that they feasibly spend or have spent looking
through charts or unfortunately, because they're back to back
appointments are just kind of quick looking at things.
I mean, the last time I went to go
get a physical was a few months ago.
I always kind of geek out over
systems just to see what they're using.
And I could see that there was even just
a simple color coding system to flag, like, oh,
this was high, this was low, right?
So something as simple as that, that's a
technological advancement that is probably not AI.
But can you imagine if they were
layering AI on top of it?
To know Melissa Bell at this age is and
they could look back at your history and they
could pull in risk factors and stuff and all.
The things that they know from practicing medicine and
being in their industry and looking at your chart.
Now they can spend more time actually talking to
you as the patient and making you feel important.
Because I feel like that people always there seems to
always be sort of a like if you're at least
baylor, Scott and White, they seem to have this insane
commitment to providing a high level of service.
I've noticed that the last few times I've been in.
And they have you go around with this
little card and they have a good system
of following up for you to review.
And it's clearly very important to them
that you felt heard and cared for.
If they can help automate or surface information
or bring insights to the providers faster, they
will hopefully be able to see continue to
provide more care to more people.
But then they're spending more quality time with you.
I like your point that customer service
is never going to go away.
There's going to be a hard reject on
this idea that this AI bot can provide
me better customer service than a human.
Maybe like tactically.
But I'm never going to emotionally connect
with this bot over here, right.
I'm way more likely to emotionally connect with
a doctor who's got several kids, right, and
we can talk about the soccer game.
Like the AGI over here.
They don't care about that.
Their kid didn't have a soccer game.
They don't have any they might tell you that.
Yeah, I got to go get my own kid. Hold on.
I'll be right back.
Yeah, no, totally.
I mean, another example, I was overhearing my husband
on the phone the other day with a Wells
Fargo customer support rep, and she was expressing genuine
Care, what sounded like genuine Care because he was
calling about a fraudulent attempt on his grandmother's account.
And she was just so kind and personable.
And maybe the AI will get there because
it's going to ingest all these calls and
it'll feel very sweet and personable.
I don't know.
The only reason I'm calling is because I usually have some
crazy complex issue where something you want a nectar ring and
I need well, I just need a solution, right?
Otherwise, I just do it on the website.
A lot of these help the hold
calls are like, oh, you can easily
go to americanairlines.com and solve this problem.
And I'm like, yeah, I was already there
like 20 minutes ago and it didn't work.
Anyway, I digress.
There was one other thing that
I was going to talk about.
You guys should definitely check this out.
I think it's one of my LinkedIn posts.
Versaill, I think that's how you say it.
Versel.com.
Go check it out.
If you're not technically inclined, that's okay.
Connect with your computer guy because your
computer guy can definitely do this.
But we ended up deploying like
a skin like chat GPT internally.
And one of the things that stuck
out, just I think this was yesterday.
What is today? Monday? This was Friday.
Sorry, I'm losing track of time.
One of the things that stuck out was I gave
him access to this tool to one of our guys,
and it's very much like a chat bot.
And he was like, Man, I
really wish I had this yesterday.
And I'm like, okay. Why?
And he's like, What I did in 6 hours yesterday?
I just typed in the same question
and it did it in 30 seconds.
And I was like, man, that's the reason
why you need to do this now.
Not that he wasted 6 hours, because
I'm sure he learned a lot.
Love him, he's awesome.
But if he could have done it in 30 seconds, what
else could he have done in the 5 hours and 59
minutes and 30 seconds that he would have saved?
And that's the thing that you need to be tracking.
So I think there's two ways
I've gotten the question before.
How are you validating the Use
case for AI and marketing?
And how are you measuring the ROI and
so on the things that you do regularly?
And you know, it took my team 8
hours to produce a blog post on average.
Then when you take a transcript, for example, we love
this Use case and you go write your blog post
off your SME interview and it takes you 2 hours.
Now I know I saved 6 hours.
So now I had a benchmark and then I
had because it already existed where it doesn't exist.
You have to think about how long it would have
taken you right, because you can backtrack that as well.
It's easy to go, okay, I haven't done that
thing yet, but you write out the steps.
It would have taken me 8 hours to
do something that took me 30 minutes.
So that's where he completed the six hour task. Totally.
And you all were able to get to
that conclusion of that was the time savings.
But even though it was frustrating for him to learn
that he spent 6 hours on it, that's critical data.
Like very simple data for you to go.
And this is why we keep going.
This is why we keep building.
This is why we're doing this.
All the things that we've been doing
with our API key, we're tracking costs.
It's been very small and up to this
point, it's cost us less than a dollar. In total?
In total?
Well, maybe not in total.
Last there's definitely been some months where I thought,
like, man, I spent like $5 this month.
Well, it's very little, right?
We were bashing on Sam earlier.
I'm sure at some point this is going to bubble
up and he's going to double our rates or something.
I don't know.
But you take, I think, less than
a dollar and we spent 6 hours. Right.
He spent 6 hours doing whatever it was. Right.
6 hours times whatever your hourly wage is for
yourself or for your employees, man, that's a massive
amount of money in terms of less than a
dollar or 6 hours of time.
It did take you now that's like hard cost.
It took you time to actually go build the thing.
Well, yeah.
Well, on Versal, I deployed it in like, ten
minutes, so it didn't take that much time.
But again, I just deployed a repository that was
already built, so somebody else put in some time.
I'm excited.
I'm ready to get in there.
I'm ready for us to start using
this and totally seeing how it goes.
Well, guys, if you want something like
what we're doing, give us a ring.
You can always email
us at thejunction eventechnology.com.
We're all ears.
Feel free to hit us up in our DMs.
Also, if you want to hop on the podcast and talk about these
topics or tell me how wrong I am or tell Mel how awesome
she is, we would love to have you on the show.
We've got a set of headphones
and a microphone just for you.
Give us a ring, give us a holler,
and yeah, guys, we'll see you next time.
Keep it automated. Peace.